Betting Buffalo with Ben: Week 4, Bills at Ravens

We went 1-3 last week with our only winner being the over on Josh Allen’s passing yards. That puts us at 7-5 overall on the season so far. Still in the green, and we will bounce back this week! Here are some plays that I like in the Week 4 road match-up in Baltimore.

Josh Allen over 286.5 passing yards

We saw Tua torch this Ravens defense only two weeks ago, which should also bode well for Josh Allen. The game total is set at 51 which means they’re expecting this to be a high-scoring, fast-paced game. Allen has hit his over in passing yards in every game so far this year and I expect that to continue against a wounded Ravens secondary. Even in a little rain, you know the Bills will be slinging it. I like Allen to hit this total.

Devin Singletary over 54.5 Rushing/Receiving yards

This is my first time betting on Singletary this season, and I love this bet. Singletary was the Bills’ leading pass catcher last week with 78 receiving yards, and he only contributed 9 yards on the ground.

Singletary should be more of a factor on the ground this week and especially in what may be a damp game. I can see Josh dumping the ball off to Singletary, much like last week. He has established himself as a reliable pass catcher and for him to get 55 rushing/receiving yards seems very doable. He has hit that number in eight of his last ten games played, dating all the way back to Week 12 last year.

Bills -3

I haven’t bet the Bills spread since Week 1 but I’m doing it again here. Buffalo is a little healthier this week. Morse, Bates, Poyer, Oliver and possibly Dane Jackson should be back for the road game in Week 4. The Ravens secondary is very vulnerable and the Bills match up well against them. Baltimore doesn’t have many big receiving threats aside from Andrews, and they haven’t had much of a run game either. Slowing down Jackson will be the key, but they did that once before and I think they can do it again. I think Buffalo makes enough plays on offense and defense in this game to win by at least a field goal. They’re the better team, don’t overthink this one. The Bills are 5-2 following a loss since 2020.

Diggs anytime TD

Watch, the one week that I don’t pick Knox to score a TD, he’ll get one.

I’m picking Diggs here at -105 simply because I think Diggs is going to eat this week. It was tough for him to get anything going or anything downfield last week with Xavien Howard on him, but he still managed seven for 74. I think we see Allen lean on Diggs in this game, especially with Davis not 100% healthy yet with his lingering ankle injury.

I think this is a big game for Diggs and in what projects to be a high scoring game, and I think we’ll see Diggs burn the Ravens D for a touchdown this week. He currently leads the league in receiving TDs with 4.

Recap:
Josh Allen over 286.5 passing yards ( -106)
Singeltary OV 54.5 rushing & receiving yards (-114)
Bills -3 (-110)
Diggs anytime TD (-105)