Betting Buffalo with Ben: Week 6, Bills at Chiefs -

The Bills meet the Chiefs once again in Arrowhead at 4:25 ET. It’s the game of the week, and one that everyone will certainly be watching. After, you know, everything that happened last year, there is a lot of hype building up for this one for obvious reasons. So while you enjoy the game, let’s help you make some money while watching it.

Bills Team Total over 27.5

I’m honestly very surprised at this number that they gave us for the Bills Team Total. We saw the Bills put up 38 last week on the Steelers. Now that Davis is fully healthy, that adds an extra element to stretch the field, and I think Davis should find the end zone again this week.

The Chiefs have given up 60 points combined the last two games to the Bucs and then the Raiders. The Bills offense is absolutely better than both of those teams, and assuming this may be a shootout, I think the Bills pass this number fairly easily tomorrow.

Bills -2.5

Yup. I’m taking the Bills spread. I don’t typicallly take the Bills spread but I love the number we have. Vegas knows that the Bills are the better team in this game. Otherwise they wouldn’t be favored by 2.5 in Kansas City.

This is the first time in Patrick Mahomes’ career that he is the home underdog, and rightfully so. I think the Bills win this game. We know they’re the better team, and Vegas agrees with us. All the money will be coming in on the Chiefs because they’re a home underdog, which makes me love the Bills side even more. This is a classic “sharp” line that favors the Bills. You want to be on the side of Vegas, and this is the side that they’re on.

Gabe Davis over 58.5 yards

We called this one last week and it hit on the third play of the game. Davis is fully healthy now, his ankle isn’t a problem anymore. He went for over 200 yards and 4 touchdowns last matchup and I think he has another huge game.

No matter what the Chiefs do, Davis will get his. If they double Diggs like last time then that’ll leave a lot of room for Davis. Even if they shadow both of them, Davis will be able to get enough separation and Josh will find him for 59+ yards. This is going to be a high-scoring game. Josh will find Davis several times down field. Lock this one in.

Diggs Anytime TD

We’re going for a Diggs touchdown here. I expect at least three touchdowns thrown by Josh, and I see one of them going to Diggs. Like I said above, I don’t think they’ll be able to double Diggs like they did last time and allow Davis to run free again. I think Diggs will be able to contribute more in this game and he’ll find the end zone at some point.

This prop is -110. I think Buffalo will score at least four or five touchdowns in this game. We know Allen loves to look for Diggs around the end zone, so look for Diggs to get one tomorrow.