Don’t look now, but Josh Allen is quietly having his best season as a pro. He is leading the league in several important statistical categories including Total Touchdowns per Game, Total Touchdowns, QBR and Completion Percentage and is Top 5 in several other key categories.
Josh Allen 2023 Rankings through 8 games:
— Put Steve Tasker in the Hall of Fame (@HOFSteveTasker) October 31, 2023
TD’s Per Game: 1st ⁰Total TD’s: 1st⁰QBR: 1st⁰Completion %age: 1st⁰TD Passes: 3rd⁰Passing Success Rate: 3rd⁰QB Rating: 5th⁰Pass Yards Per Game: 5th
Josh Allen is having an MVP caliber season. 🔥 🔥 🔥 #BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/GT3Xrp4kSJ
But as it stands today, Allen is 5th highest in MVP odds through 8 weeks.
AP NFL Regular Season MVP 2023-24
— Put Steve Tasker in the Hall of Fame (@HOFSteveTasker) October 30, 2023
Mahomes +270⁰Jalen Hurts +350⁰Tua +370⁰Lamar Jackson +600⁰Josh Allen +1400⁰Trevor Lawrence +1800⁰Joe Burrow +2200
#BillsMafia pic.twitter.com/SkoK1grL4v
Even though he is the most dominant quarterback statistically overall, why is he so far behind Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa and Lamar Jackson in the running Vegas odds? The answer to this question is probably a combination of the Bills recent three-game sputter (versus the Jaguars, Giants and Patriots) and the fact that Josh Allen has a turnover reputation that he cannot shake.
If turnovers are the main concern for Josh Allen being a serious MVP candidate, take a look at how he compares to the others in regard to interceptions…
Here’s the number of int’s compared with current Vegas odds for each of Josh Allen’s MVP counterparts.
— Matt (@BlindTiger913) October 31, 2023
Mahomes (+270) 8 int⁰Hurts (+350) 8 int⁰Tua (+370) 7 int⁰Lamar (+600) 3 int⁰Allen (+1400) 8 int
Lawrence (+1800) 4 int
#BillsMafia
Josh Allen has had a reputation throughout his career of being a “turnover machine,” which may be true to some extent, but this season the other top MVP candidates are right there with him.
Turnovers aside, Allen has done something NO OTHER QUARTERBACK has ever done—throw for 17+ passing touchdowns and rush for 5+ touchdowns in his team’s first 8 games. The man is on FIRE.
Josh Allen is the first player in the Super Bowl era with 17+ passing TDs & 5+ rushing TDs in his team's first eight games. pic.twitter.com/h17hqcS38m
— Buffalo Bills PR (@BuffaloBillsPR) October 27, 2023
Here is a look at several other key quarterback stats. Note where Allen is ranked compared to the other MVP candidates.
Passing Success Rate Leaders
Brock Purdy 56.3%
Tua Tagovailoa 54.4%
Josh Allen 53.4%
Geno Smith 51.9%
Jared Goff 51.3%
Dak Prescott 50.4%
Mahomes 50.3%
14. Jalen Hurts 45.8%
Passing Yards Per Game Leaders
Tua Tagovailoa 302.0
Kirk Cousins 291.4
Mahomes 282.3
Jared Goff 271.8
Josh Allen 270.6
Justin Herbert 270.0
Sam Howell 268.3
Jalen Hurts 267.5
Matt Stafford 258.8
CJ Stroud 257.1
QB Rating Leaders
Tua Tagovailoa 108.8
Brock Purdy 105.4
Kirk Cousins 103.8
Russell Wilson 101.7
Josh Allen 101.5
Justin Herbert 101.1
Lamar Jackson 101.0
Dak Prescott 97.8
Jared Goff 96.4
Mahomes 95.8
QBR Leaders
Josh Allen 77.1
Brock Purdy 74.5
Mahomes 74.5
Justin Herbert 69.1
Tua Tagovailoa 68.0
Jared Goff 65.1
Jalen Hurts 65.6
Dak Prescott 65.5
Completion Percentage Leaders
Josh Allen 71.7
Dak Prescott 71.0
Lamar Jackson 70.5
Tua Tagovailoa 70.4
Kirk Cousins 69.5
Daniel Jones 68.9
Mahomes 68.8
Justin Herbert 68.7
Jalen Hurts 68.4
Touchdown Passes
Tua Tagovailoa 18
Kirk Cousins 18
Josh Allen 17
Russell Wilson 16
Mahomes 15
Justin Herbert 13
Jalen Hurts 13
Sam Howell 13
Total Touchdowns
Josh Allen 22
Jalen Hurts 19
Tua Tagovailoa 18
Kirk Cousins 18
Russell Wilson 16
Justin Herbert 16
Mahomes 15
If Josh Allen can continue his current statistical production over the second half of the season and the Bills can stack wins against key opponents (Bengals, Chiefs, Dolphins, Eagles, Cowboys, Chargers, etc) there is no reason why Josh Allen shouldn’t win his first MVP of his career.
