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Brandon Beane Most Proficient at Drafting Players Since 2018

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We know that Brandon Beane has been instrumental to the Bills turnaround on the field and his “Trust the Process” approach has been ingrained into the hearts and souls of Bills Mafia faithful.

Beane has brought in key free agents, but it has been his drafting ability that has cemented the Bills into the elite of the NFL.

We know the Bills General Manager has done well in the draft, but how have the Bills drafts compared to the other team’s since Beane’s first NFL draft in 2018?

Through hours of research and my own formula, I have come up with a way to determine which team’s drafts have been the most fruitful since Beane became the Bills General Manager.

This Draft Proficiency formula takes each draft pick’s Approximate Value (a number Pro Football Reference assigns to each player that measures their impact) and divides it by the maximum number of seasons each draft pick would have played, assuming they played every season since they were drafted—which obviously isn’t the case, but player longevity is a factor that teams try to forecast when drafting.

The formula isn’t perfect, but it measures apples to apples and incorporates each draft pick’s career successes in association to their possible time in the league.

Anyways, the results confirm what we already know—Brandon Beane is good at evaluating draft picks. 

But how good is he?  And could he be the best general manager at evaluating and drafting players into the NFL?

Here are his a round by round look at which teams had the most success in the NFL draft since 2018.

https://x.com/hofstevetasker/status/1778881694004609041?s=46&t=l_fCxHeY9P0HX1QXG-jFJg

Round 1

Brandon Beane has done remarkably well in the first round and it all starts with drafting his first pick with the Bills, Josh Allen.  By getting JA17 right and not picking Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold or Baker Mayfield, Beane proved his eye for talent.

He’s also hit with Tremaine Edmunds (2018), Ed Oliver (2019), Greg Rousseau (2021) and Dalton Kincaid (2023).  His one miss, if you want to call it that, was Kaiir Elam in 2022—and the book is still out on him.

Beane’s first round draft proficiency score of 9.00 ranks third in the NFL since 2018.

Round 2

It’s been well documented that Brandon Beane has had difficulties drafting in the second round. 

His first second round pick was Cody Ford in 2019 and although he’s still in the league, he’s been a backup-level offensive lineman at best.

Boogie Basham (2021) was another disappointment for the Bills (now Giants) and in three seasons has started zero games and has a total of 4.5 sacks.

2020 saw Beane pick AJ Epenesa, who was a project and really didn’t come into his own until this past season.

More recently, the Bills have drafted James Cook (2022) and O’Cyrus Torrence (2023) who have been great for the Bills and hopefully if they continue their successful play can help to change the tide regarding Beane’s second round troubles.

Beane’s second round draft proficiency score is 3.80, which ranks 19th in the NFL since 2018.

Round 3

Brandon Beane’s draft success in the third round is amongst the best in the NFL and he’s found more value in this round than he has in the second round.

Although they’re not all still with the Bills, every third round pick the Bills have made since 2018 has either proven to be an effective starter in the league or a key impact-player off the bench:

Harrison Phillips (2018)
Devin Singletary (2019)
Dawson Knox (2019)
Zach Moss (2020)
Spencer Brown (2021)
Terrel Bernard (2022)

The book is still out on 2023 pick, Dorian Williams, but if past results are any indicator, Williams will also be an impact player very soon.

Beane’s third round draft proficiency score is 5.00 which is tied for first in the NFL since 2018.

Round 4

Brandon Beane has picked two players in the fourth round in his six seasons with the Bills—Taron Johnson and Gabe Davis.

A part of Beane’s masterclass of 2018, Taron Johnson was an All-Pro in 2023 and has proven to be one of the best slot cornerbacks in the league.

And say what you will about Gabe Davis, the man put up solid numbers at WR2 and came up big when the Bills needed him time after time.

In fact, Beane has produced more talent in the 4thround than in the 2nd round at this point.

Beane’s fourth round draft proficiency score is 5.50, which is head and shoulders above the next highest team (Cowboys—3.27).

Round 5

The fifth round hasn’t been as kind to Brandon Beane.  

Although he did draft Wyatt Teller (2018), who has yielded multiple Pro Bowls with the Browns and Khalil Shakir (2022), who held the best catch percentage for a wide receiver EVER in 2023; Beane has had a number of 5th round misses compared to his counterparts including:

Vosean Joseph (2019)
Jake Fromm (2020)
Tommy Doyle (2021)

It’s too early to tell yet with 2023 fifth round pick, Justin Shorter, but don’t expect him to dazzle anytime soon.

Beane’s fifth round draft proficiency score is 1.85, which is 11th in the NFL since 2018.

Round 6

Brandon Beane has been average in the 6th round compared to the rest of the NFL teams.

Although he did find starting cornerback, Christian Benford (2022) and the Bills kicker, Tyler Bass (2020); the rest of the picks have been mediocre at best and a couple are even out of the league.

Special Teams role players such as Ray-Ray McCloud (2018), Isaiah Hodgins (2020) and Damar Hamlin (2021) have lived up to their sixth-round status.

Other who are out of the league or will be soon include: 

Jaquan Johnson (2019)
Marquez Stevenson (2021)
Rachad Wildgoose (2021)
Luke Tenuta (2022)

Beane’s sixth round draft proficiency score is 1.29, which is 14th in the NFL since 2018.

Round 7

The sixth and seventh rounds really are crapshoots.  However, there is still value in these rounds and Brandon Beane has found some players that make meaningful contributions to the Bills.

Dane Jackson (2020) helped fill in and was the Bills primary starter in 2022 when Tre White was still on the mend.  He provided solid depth for the Bills last season and will likely contribute with his new team, the Panthers, in 2023.

Baylon Spector (2022) is another seventh rounder who has had meaningful defensive snaps for the Bills and will continue to provide linebacker depth for them in 2023.

Beane’s seventh round draft proficiency score is 0.82, which is 10th in the NFL since 2018.

Brandon Beane’s Buffalo Bills are the most proficient at drafting players since 2018.

From the first round through the seventh round, no one is better at evaluating and drafting players than Brandon Beane.  Not only does he lead the league in draft proficiency, the second place Ravens are a whole two tenths of a point away from the Bills.  

Brandon Beane and company have a chance to cement their drafting reputation next week when they’ll be picking ten players—the most of any Brandon Beane draft.

Buffalo Bills history geek living in Kansas City area. Operator of @HOFSteveTasker on Twitter.

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Buffalo Bills

Bills Sign Receiver Chase Claypool

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The Buffalo Bills announced the signing of veteran wide receiver, Chase Claypool today.

Claypool, a four-year veteran, played nine games with the Dolphins last season after being traded from the Bears to Miami.

In twelve total games in 2023, Claypool had 8 receptions for 77 yards and a touchdown with a 38.1% catch percentage—the lowest numbers of his career.

The Bills hope to capture the success of Chase Claypool’s first two seasons in the NFL where he career where he averaged 60 receptions for 866 yards and recorded 11 total receiving touchdowns. 

Claypool joins a Bills receiving room that includes rookie Keon Coleman and veterans Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins.

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Buffalo Bills

Bills Pick Up Greg Rousseau’s Fifth-Year Option

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Rich Barnes/GettyImages

The Buffalo Bills have picked up the fifth-year option for defensive end, Greg Rousseau. 

Greg Rousseau was an enticing 6’ 6”, 265 lbs defensive end out of the University of Miami. Rousseau was taken by the Bills in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft at pick 30, ever since then, Rousseau has been a large contributor in the Bills defense.

Rousseau will make $13.4 million in 2025, the fifth-year, and will make $2.3 million this upcoming season, which is a part of his four year rookie contract.

In the 2023 regular season, Rousseau played 16 games where he had 42 total tackles, 30 solo tackles, 5 sacks, 1 forced fumble, and 4 passes defended. In his three years with the Bills, Rousseau has 17 sacks and 129 tackles. Greg Rousseau was second in terms of tackles on the Bills defensive line last season. 

The Buffalo Bills current defensive ends consists of Greg Rousseau, Von Miller, AJ Epenesa, Javon Solomon, Casey Toohill, Kingsley Jonathan, and Kameron Cline. 

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Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills 2024 UDFA Tracker

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Robert McDuffie/USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills finished their draft with ten new players added to the roster. However, the fun didn’t stop there for General Manager Brandon Beane and company. As they do every year, all 32 NFL teams rushed to sign their favorite undrafted free agents once the draft concluded. Buffalo came away with 11 undrafted free agent signings so far, along with 10 rookie minicamp invites. Let’s take a look at all the new signings and players invited:

Undrafted Free Agents

Southern Miss RB Frank Gore Jr.

We all know legendary running back and former Buffalo Bill, Frank Gore. While his playing time is done, his sons is just getting started. Gore is a 5’8″, 201 lbs back that knows how to find ways through holes and has good contact balance. He’s plays a bit slower than his 40-yard dash time tells, but he should be able to make a good run at the final-53.

Ohio State WR Xavier Johnson Jr.

Xavier Johnson Jr. is a 6’0″, 202 lbs wideout. He’s an exciting player that can do a little bit of everything. He’s not the biggest, fastest, or strongest. Although, he can be a great special teamer – both as a gunner and returner – but he’ll need to work on his receiving attributes, if he wants to fit into an NFL offense.

Tulane WR Lawrence Keys

A smaller receiver, Lawrence Keys comes in at 5’11”, 170 lbs. Keys is a versatile wideout that can take a screen to the house or track a deep ball downfield. He’s a bit undersized, but it’ll be interesting to see if the Bills see him as a special teamer with the potential to be used in creative ways offensively.

Auburn OL Gunner Britton

Britton is a massive lineman coming in at 6’6″, 312 lbs. He has long arms and quick feet while excelling in the passing game. He’ll play through the whistle, but his agility and athleticism limits his ability to be consistently dominant.

Campbell OT Mike Edwards

Edwards is a gigantic tackle that comes in at 6’7″, 355 lbs. He knows how to use his size as he’s not afraid to lay a big hit downfield. His feet are great but his size limits his athletic ability. He’ll need to improve his run block and hasn’t played against top talent, leaving some questions.

Utah OG Keaton Bills

A player that was born to be a Bill. Keaton Bills is a 6’4″, 321 lbs guard that was projected to be a draft pick by many. His feet never stop moving and is very in control of his body while engaged in a block. His size makes it tough for him to consistently get out of his stance. He’s got the name to be in Buffalo, but he’ll need to prove it in camp.

Miami DT Branson Deen

Branson Deen is a 6’2″, 280 lbs defensive tackle that comes in after never playing a full season of college football. He has a good mix of pass rush moves and excels in the run game. He’ll need to stay healthy to make this Bills team but has the ability to be a force despite being a bit undersized at the position.

Houston EDGE David Ugwoegbu

The former Houston edge rusher, David Ugwoegbu, comes in at 6’4″, 250 lbs. David has a long arms and big hands, helping him chase down ball carriers and wrap up. He’ll need to work on angling but also has the ability to be an inside linebacker. The Bills will need to decide how they view him and would like to use him.

Oklahoma EDGE Rondell Bothroyd

Bothroyd is a 6’4″, 277 lbs edge rusher that knows how to get after the quarterback. His quickness off the line stands out and keeps his balance while engaged with blockers. He isn’t elite in any one area and will need to become a very well rounded edge rusher if he wants to have a long career.

Western Michigan CB Keni-H Lovely

Keni-H is an athetic 5’10” corner that is terrific at mirroring wideouts. He has to add some strength to make up for his lack of size, but can go up and get the ball. Lovely is an interesting UDFA that could fit as a depth piece for the Bills that can line up outside and in the slot.

San Diego State P Jack Browning

After being a zero star recruit, Browning finds his way in the NFL after a playing both kicker and punter in college. His versatility could earn him a spot on the practice squad, but it’ll be hard for him to crack the top-53. He has a great leg as a kicker, but is more known for accuracy as a punter.

Rookie Minicamp Invites
  • Troy QB Gunnar Watson
  • Kansas TE Mason Fairchild
  • Wisconsin OL Michael Furtney
  • FIU DT Jack Daly
  • South Dakota LB Stephen Hillis
  • Jacksonville State LB Kolbi Fuqua
  • Clemson CB Sheridan Jones
  • Arkansas CB Al Walcott
  • Furman CB Travis Blackshear
  • Syracuse DB Jason Simmons
  • UB K Alex McNulty-Romaguera

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