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Power ranking every AFC team

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Jeffrey T. Barnes/AP Photo

This NFL offseason has seen a ton of trades and acquisitions, and in the AFC especially, things have been shaken up quite a bit. This will make for a very interesting upcoming football season, to say the last. Some of the headlining moves in the AFC were: Russell Wilson to Denver, Davante Adams and Chandler Jones to Vegas, Matt Ryan to Indianapolis, Von Miller to Buffalo, Tyreek Hill to Miami, Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper to Cleveland, Khalil Mack to the Los Angeles Chargers, and to New England went… well, Malcolm Butler. Let’s take a look at the AFC Power Rankings as of right now:

#16: Houston Texans

The Texans start out at the bottom of our list. They just unloaded Deshaun Watson to the Cleveland Browns for a good amount of picks which will absolutely be useful to them in the coming years. Davis Mills will be able to take the reins at QB full-time this season as well. Considering the lack of help and O-Line situation he had last year, he actually played surprisingly well. It’ll be very interesting to see the leap he can make under new head coach Lovie Smith this year.

#15: New York Jets

The Jets haven’t done much to improve their team this offseason. They even let go of one of their best WRs in Jamison Crowder to a divisional rival. The Jets will most likely remain at the bottom of the AFC and AFC East once again this year, but it will be interesting to see the strides that second-year QB Zach Wilson can make. Elijah Moore is turning into a stud on the outside as well. While the Jets aren’t going to make any noise this season, their young team should absolutely improve under second-year coach Robert Salah.

#14: Jacksonville Jaguars

While Trevor Lawrence didn’t have the year many were expecting him to have as a rookie, the team around him was awful. He was in a bad coaching situation, had a bad offensive line and Marvin Jones was his WR1 – not exactly setting him up for success right out of the gate. The Jags will once again draft first this year and they need to build around their franchise QB. They added Zay Jones, Evan Engram and Christian Kirk to their pass catching core which could be some nice help for Lawrence as he starts to get more comfortable in the NFL. The Jags also added new head coach, Doug Pederson, which I believe is a great option. Seeing what he did with Carson Wentz and Nick Foles even, I think he’s a great choice to get Lawrence’s career off the ground. The Jaguars are going to be bad again, but this season will shed some light on Lawrence to see if he can make that leap that many are expecting to see from him.

#13: Pittsburgh Steelers

It’s odd putting the Steelers at No. 13 right now given the elite defense they still have. But with all the fire power in the AFC this season, this is where they have to land. The Steelers lost Big Ben to retirement, which was actually a blessing in disguise, as he had a Hall of Fame Career, but unfortunately was not getting the job done for them anymore. They added former Bills backup QB, Mitch Trubisky, who will most likely be their starting QB going into the 2022 season. While Trubisky will be a serviceable option at QB, and the Steelers pass catchers and RB Najee Harris are young and talented, they lack almost everywhere else on offense. And while the Steelers aren’t going to be a walk-over this year by any means, the division they’re in is just too good right now for the Steelers to be able to make any noise for the time being.

#12: New England Patriots

Yes, the Patriots had a solid season last year. Yes, they made the playoffs. And yes, Mac Jones played pretty well for the most part. But looking at the rest of the AFC, the Patriots are not better than the remaining 11 teams. The Patriots exceeded expectations last year and will most likely be taking a step back. They didn’t make any major moves in free agency and they finished the year spiraling downwards with a 47-17 drubbing by Josh Allen and the Bills in the AFC Wild Card round. While the Patriots are going to be competitive this season and be in almost every game they play, and Mac Jones will continue to make strides in the Patriots offense, there just isn’t enough talent there on either side of the ball to compete with the top teams in the AFC this season.

#11: Cleveland Browns

The Browns biggest move this offseason was the acquisition of Deshaun Watson. The question is, will a year off of football hurt Watson? And will he be the same guy that we saw in 2020? There is still a decent chance that Watson will be suspended for at least several games in this upcoming season, leaving a determined Baker Mayfield to take his spot. Unfortunately outside of Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt, and newly-acquired Amari Cooper, there isn’t much offensive talent for the Browns. While the defense is solidified with Jadeveon Clowney and Myles Garret, one of the best pass rushers in the league, that still won’t be enough to get the Browns over the hump. They’ll be competing for a wild card all year, but with the Ravens and Bengals in a very tough division, it’s going to be difficult for the Browns to gain any momentum throughout the season.

#10: Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have just acquired elite WR Tyreek Hill from the Kansas City Chiefs, and while he will absolutely make an impact with them, the question is still the guy that’s throwing the ball to him. The Dolphins have a talented team. Jaylen Waddle and Hill on the outside are studs and Chase Edmonds with Raheem Mostert at RB are also dangerous. The Dolphins have the pieces to be a contending team. This will be Tua’s ‘put up or shut up’ year, no doubt. He has the talent he needs to succeed, the question is, will he be able to take that leap, or will he just remain the mediocre QB he is right now. New head coach Mike McDaniel is looking to change the culture in Miami this year. The Dolphins can contend for a playoff spot and they will be a team to keep an eye on this year. Their season will most likely depend on the left arm of Tua Tagovailoa.

#9: Tennessee Titans

It’s pretty clear now that the Titans were not worthy of that No. 1 seed last year in the AFC, as they played very poorly, and Ryan Tannehill threw an INT in the final minutes of the Divisional Round game to allow the Bengals to win. They did add Robert Woods this year which will help Tannehill a lot now with Julio Jones gone. And Derrick Henry should come back healthier as well. However this Titans team doesn’t have much of a wow factor to them this year. The other teams in the AFC are more talented. Tannehill needs to make a big jump this year if Tennessee wants to compete for a Super Bowl title. They’ll be fighting with the Colts all season long for the AFC South crown.

#8: Indianapolis Colts

The Colts are another team that are right on that fringe spot. They can go and blow out the Bills in Buffalo by 26 and then lose to the Jaguars to miss the playoffs. They’re a very inconsistent team. Jonathan Taylor is a superstar however and he will once again be the focal point in this offense. Matt Ryan is definitely an upgrade over Carson Wentz and it’ll be fun to see how Ryan fares in this Colts offense where he’ll actually have time to throw and a great running game. The Colts will be another team in the mix for things all year long and they absolutely have a chance to dethrone the Titans this year.

#7: Baltimore Ravens

Ravens find themselves in the middle of the pack here. They’ve been fairly quiet throughout this free agency period and the teams around them in their division are only getting better. With QB Lamar Jackson back and healthy, the Ravens will still be right in the mix, but with the Bengals, and Deshaun Watson now in their division, it’s going to be difficult for them to get back that AFC North crown.

#6: Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders took a big leap this past year and found themselves in the playoffs even after all the distractions off the field last year, and they’re only getting better. They’ve been very active this offseason, acquiring star wideout Davante Adams from the Packers and pass rusher Chandler Jones. With Adams, a healthy Darren Waller and a rising star in Hunter Renfroe, Derek Carr has the weapons he needs to be a very good QB in this league. Expect the Raiders to make some noise this year even though they are now in arguably the best division in football. They will still find themselves competing down to the wire every week.

#5: Cincinnati Bengals

The representative for the AFC in last year’s Super Bowl comes in at No. 5. The Bengals are going to be a great team and while many can argue they should be higher, the remaining teams above them are very close. The Bengals had some fortunate wins in the playoffs last year, with their defense making game changing INTs on their opponents’ final drives, and it’s just tough to see them repeating that same kind of postseason success they had last year, especially with the firepower in the AFC this year. Their biggest weakness was obviously at offensive line, and they did take some steps to bolster it with the acquisitions of Alex Cappa and Ted Karras this offseason. While Ja’Maar Chase is going to be a superstar in this league for a long time, some could argue if they had drafted Penei Sewell, that would’ve been a different super bowl outcome. Nonetheless, the Bengals, with Joe Burrow under center, will be a top team this year and contending for another trip back to the Super Bowl.

#4: Denver Broncos

It’s been said the past couple years that the Broncos are a very good team with a talented roster, and the only thing they severely lack is a good QB. Well, it’s not Aaron Rodgers, but Russell Wilson is a pretty darn good option. With the addition of Wilson, that now puts him in charge of an offense with Javonte Williams, Jerry Jeudy, Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to name a few. The Broncos defense was already one of the best in the league and they still have some young superstars on the defensive side of the ball as well, such as Bradly Chubb and Pat Surtain II. Expect the Broncos to be right there every week and contend with the best of the best. If Wilson and company are able to stay healthy all year, this is going to be a dangerous team for sure.

#3: Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers are going to make a run this year. They’re finally ready and they’re going to be playoff bound. Justin Herbert is the real deal at QB, they added JC Jackson from New England as well as Khalil Mack, and they signed WR Mike Williams to a $60 million dollar contract extension. They have the pieces in place for this season and this Chargers team is going to be right in the mix of things all year long, competing for the AFC West title. They are ready to make the leap and be in that elite conversation.

#2: Kansas City Chiefs

Coming in at No. 2 we have the Kansas City Chiefs. It appears the Chiefs’ massive contract to Patrick Mahomes is starting to cause some problems, in that it will be difficult for them to retain key players in the coming years. We’ve already seen that come to fruition with the loss of Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins. However, Mahomes can turn any player into a superstar. Travis Kelce is still going to be the best TE in the league and expect Juju Smith-Schuster to have a breakout season as well for the Chiefs. As long as Mahomes is under center, the Chiefs will have a good chance to win almost every game they play in.

#1: Buffalo Bills

The Buffalo Bills are currently the consensus betting favorite to win the Super Bowl this year, and Josh Allen is the favorite to win MVP as well. With the signings of Von Miller, Shaq Lawson, Jordan Phillips, Jamison Crowder, and OJ Howard, and the re-signing of Isaiah McKenzie, the Bills are the clear-cut favorite right now to win the AFC. They’re loaded at nearly every single position on the field and there isn’t a real weakness to this team anymore (maybe punter?). Seeing the Chiefs load off Hill to the Dolphins is a huge win for the Bills as well, as he seemingly made big plays at huge points in both the last two postseason matchups with the Bills. Let’s get excited Bills fans! It’s super bowl or bust for this team this coming season.

24 year old Bills fanatic and writer from Rochester, NY. Studied Business writing and Marketing at The College of Brockport and graduated May 2020. I've been a die hard Bills fan from a very young age and they remain a huge focal point of my life. I love writing, talking about the Bills, or sports in general.

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Buffalo Bills

No Diggs, No Problem for Bills in 2024

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Now that the shock of trading Stefon Diggs has subsided for most Bills fans and General Manager, Brandon Beane has filled the offensive roster (for the most part), let’s look at what a Diggs-less Bills offense will look like in 2024.

Stefon Diggs was a premier wide receiver in the league during his four-year tenure in Buffalo.  He was among the league leaders in catches and receiving yards each year and came up with many big plays. 

It’s clear that Diggs was Josh Allen’s number one guy and it wasn’t even close.

However, down the stretch in 2024 after Joe Brady took over as the offensive coordinator, Diggs was invisible and his numbers reflected that of a mediocre receiver who’s effort might not have been what Bills fans were used to seeing.

In the Bills final nine games, including two playoff games, Stefon Diggs caught 34 passes on 58 targets (58.6% catch percentage) with 388 yards (43 yards per game) and only 1 touchdown.

Did he attract teams’ number one cornerbacks?  Yes.  But this is no different than any other point in his Bills career.

Combine his decreased production with his salary drain and his off the field burden to the team (cryptic Twitter posts, inconsistent Bills camp attendance); the Bills brass were ready to take Diggs out of the equation.

So what are the Bills going to do without Stefon Diggs in 2024?

First and foremost, the presumed need for Josh Allen to throw to Diggs is gone.  In other words, the Bills won’t have to keep one person happy by force-feeding him the football and a more team-oriented less-ego driven offense will be showcased in 2024.

Here is a percentage breakdown of where all of Josh Allen’s passes were targeted after Joe Brady took over starting in week 11.

Stefon Diggs 26.7%
Dalton Kincaid   18.1%
Khalil Shakir      12.8%
James Cook        12.4%
Gabriel Davis      8.5%
Trent Sherfield  5.3%
Dawson Knox     5.0%
Latavius Murray 4.6%
Ty Johnson         3.6%
Deonte Hardy    1.8%
Quintin Morris   0.1%
Andy Isabella     0.01%

If you add up the departed pass catchers, 46.9% of the intended targets will be gone in 2024. 

Exiting in 2024 are Stefon Diggs, Gabe Davis, Trent Sherfield, Latavius Murray and Deonte Hardy.

Returning from 2023 is wide receiver, Khalil Shakir, tight ends Dawson Knox and Dalton Kincaid and running back James Cook. 

The Bills added wide receivers Curtis Samuel and Chase Claypool via free agency and Keon Coleman through the draft.  They also provided a bigger running back to spell James Cook with Ray Davis.

With a full offseason for Joe Brady to scheme and a few new weapons added to his arsenal, anticipate the Bills to run more 12 personnel (two tight end sets) than in 2023 and even utilize the ground game more.

It’s interesting to note the difference in play calling with Joe Brady versus Ken Dorsey last season.  Ken Dorsey called passing plays 57.1% of the time and run plays 42.9% of the time.  While Brady called 52.6% running plays and 47.7% passing plays.

With this information, here is a breakdown of the anticipated touches for each offensive player for the Bills in 2024 with their current roster.  This is based off 1092 total offensive plays, which is the same amount the Bills ran in 2023:

Running Game
Joe Brady’s offense ran the ball nearly 53% of the time last season and this should continue in 2024.  I’d anticipate that the Bills run the ball a total of 649 times with the running attempts going to the following players:

James Cook        225 attempts
In 2023, James Cook was the Bills featured back and he excelled most of the season but began to decline a bit later in the season and in the playoffs.  This may have been because his workload was more than DOUBLE that of any season since his first year at Georgia in 2018.

I’d anticipate James Cook’s workload going down a bit.  He carried the ball 237 times in 2023 and I’m predicting 225 rushes this season.

Ray Davis            173 attempts
The Bills didn’t use a 4th round draft pick on Ray Davis for him to ride the pine.  Unlike James Cook, his college workload was heavy and he carried the ball a lot.  Look for Ray Davis’s rush attempts to be slightly less than James Cooks and for him to be on the field often as he’s also an excellent pass catcher.

Although Sean McDermott has a history of being hesitant to give rookies playing time early in the season, Ray Davis will get the looks early and often.

Josh Allen           104 attempts
Remember when Bills Brass tried to contain Josh Allen and not allow him to freely run whenever he wanted last year?  Well, that didn’t work and once Joe Brady became the Bills new offensive coordinator, he gave Josh the keys to use his legs whenever he wanted—and the Bills went on a hot streak after that happened.

Look for Josh Allen’s rushing attempts to come down a bit in 2024 as Joe Brady has had an offseason to scheme up some plays to get other playmakers going. 

Ty Johnson         85 attempts
In five NFL seasons, Ty Johnson has had no more than 63 total rush attempts (2019 with Detroit). 

Look for Ty Johnson to spell James Cook and Ray Davis and be an important part of Joe Brady’s running attack.

Mitch Trubisky/Wide Receivers/Practice Squad Running Backs                  55 attempts
Kyle Allen had 13 neal downs in 2023, the Bills had 7 wide receiver rushing attempts and 35 practice squad running back rushes.  These are necessary.

Passing Game
Joe Brady’s offense threw the football 47.7% of the time in 2023, which wasn’t a typical Brian Daboll/Ken Dorsey-led offense; but under Joe Brady, I’d anticipate a similar outcome in 2024.

Brady is going to have to figure out how to redistribute the 241 targets vacated by Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis and it shouldn’t be too hard considering the Bills projected 2024 main receiving target options have excellent reception percentage and playmaking ability.

I’d anticipate the following player targets this coming season:

Dalton Kincaid  115 Targets
After getting 91 targets in 2023 and catching over 80% of the passes that came his way, look for Dalton Kincaid’s production to continue to climb and Josh Allen’s trust in him to be sky-high. 

Kincaid has what it takes to be an All-Pro level tight end and he’ll get his opportunity in 2024.

Khalil Shakir       98 Targets
Did you know that Khalil Shakir posted the highest EVER catch percentage for a wide receiver?  Well, it’s true and he did it in 2023.

Shakir is another pass catcher that has gained Josh Allen’s trust and look for his production to skyrocket in 2024.

Curtis Samuel    90 targets
Curtis Samuel has had 90+ targets in four consecutive healthy seasons in Carolina and Washington and there’s no reason why he wouldn’t again in 2024.

Keon Coleman  87 targets
It’s hard to predict what a rookie “X” receiver will do on a Sean McDermott-led team.  Some rookies see a lot of playing time (O’Cyrus Torrence, Dalton Kincaid) and some do not (James Cook, Khalil Shakir). 

However, the Bills didn’t draft Keon Coleman along with Josh Allen’s endorsement to not see the field.

James Cook        57 targets
James Cook had 54 targets in 2023.  He’ll have at least that many in 2024 I’d anticipate him getting more touches through the air and less on the ground with Ray Davis absorbing more rushing attempts.

Dawson Knox    54 targets
When he’s healthy, Dawson Knox gets between 50-60 targets a season.  However, last season he missed five games, and he now has a diminished role, being the TE2. 

It’ll be interesting to see Dawson’s role in the Bills 2024 offense.

Ray Davis            38 Targets
In 36 career college games, Ray Davis had a total of 86 receptions and was lauded for his great hands coming out of college.

Latavius Murray and Damien Harris combined for 29 targets last season and I could see Ray Davis getting at least that many in 2024.

Mack Hollins     13 Targets
Although he has had no less than 22 targets in his career and a career high 94 in 2022, there simply are too many hungry mouths to feed on the Buffalo offense this season.

Mack Hollins is an interesting case as many suspect he’ll be used for his blocking ability more than his receiving.

Justin Shorter, Ty Johnson, Quintin Morris, Reggie Gilliam, Chase Claypool, Practice Squid WR’s                                16 Targets
Justin Shorter
 is a wild card at this point.  He could be as high as the Bills WR5 or he could be as low as being a practice squad player or even cut.  Training Camp will tell us more about Shorter.

Ty Johnson had seven targets with the Bills last season in 10 games.  He may have more than that this year if he is the Bills true RB3.

The Bills love Quintin Morris for his special teams ability.  However, after having three targets in 2023, he probably won’t move the radar in 2024 for the Bills receiving offense either.

So many questions surround Chase Claypool.  If he’s the same receiver who played with Ben Roethlisberger in Pittsburg, he could legitimately be a lot higher on this list and get 75+ targets.  If he’s the same guy who played in Chicago/Miami the past two seasons, he could very easily be cut.

Reggie Gilliam is good for a couple targets a season.  Like Quintin Morris he’ll make the 53-man squad as a special teams ace.

It’ll be interesting to see how the 2024 season plays out.  Joe Brady introduced a much more balanced offensive attack after he took the reins midway through the season.

Will we see a more run-heavy approach as we did down the stretch in 2023?

Or, with the fact that Josh Allen won’t feel the need to force-feed Stefon Diggs, will we see a Bills passing attack that will include a plethora of talented pass catchers?

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Buffalo Bills

Bills Sign Receiver Chase Claypool

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The Buffalo Bills announced the signing of veteran wide receiver, Chase Claypool today.

Claypool, a four-year veteran, played nine games with the Dolphins last season after being traded from the Bears to Miami.

In twelve total games in 2023, Claypool had 8 receptions for 77 yards and a touchdown with a 38.1% catch percentage—the lowest numbers of his career.

The Bills hope to capture the success of Chase Claypool’s first two seasons in the NFL where he career where he averaged 60 receptions for 866 yards and recorded 11 total receiving touchdowns. 

Claypool joins a Bills receiving room that includes rookie Keon Coleman and veterans Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir and Mack Hollins.

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Buffalo Bills

Bills Pick Up Greg Rousseau’s Fifth-Year Option

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Rich Barnes/GettyImages

The Buffalo Bills have picked up the fifth-year option for defensive end, Greg Rousseau. 

Greg Rousseau was an enticing 6’ 6”, 265 lbs defensive end out of the University of Miami. Rousseau was taken by the Bills in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft at pick 30, ever since then, Rousseau has been a large contributor in the Bills defense.

Rousseau will make $13.4 million in 2025, the fifth-year, and will make $2.3 million this upcoming season, which is a part of his four year rookie contract.

In the 2023 regular season, Rousseau played 16 games where he had 42 total tackles, 30 solo tackles, 5 sacks, 1 forced fumble, and 4 passes defended. In his three years with the Bills, Rousseau has 17 sacks and 129 tackles. Greg Rousseau was second in terms of tackles on the Bills defensive line last season. 

The Buffalo Bills current defensive ends consists of Greg Rousseau, Von Miller, AJ Epenesa, Javon Solomon, Casey Toohill, Kingsley Jonathan, and Kameron Cline. 

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